Ahead Of Possible Ceasefire Talks, Russia Prepares Large-Scale Summer Offensive Against Ukraine – Analysis
Friday, 16 May 2025 () By Can Kasapoğlu
**1. Battlefield Assessment**
Major parties to the war in Ukraine are preparing for possible ceasefire talks in Istanbul, offering some reason for optimism. But in the meantime, Russia’s military is gearing up for a large-scale summer offensive.
Peace talks between Russia and Ukraine are back on the table in Istanbul. Russian negotiator Vladimir Medinsky says Moscow is open to “possible compromises,” with a high-level delegation from defense, foreign affairs, and intelligence ministries already in place. Ukraine, which initially demanded...
Ukraine-Russia talks in Istanbul kick off at a lower level and with lowered expectations
Ukrainian and Russian officials met in Istanbul on Friday for the first time since March 2022. Although the negotiations are now scheduled at a lower level, they are still taking place, with Turkish and US representatives participating.
READ MORE : http://www.euronews.com/2025/05/16/ukraine-russia-talks-in-istanbul-kick-off-at-a-lower-level-and-with-lowered-expectations
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Crimea is Russia’s training ground for colonisation, Kyiv envoy says
There is one topic on which Kyiv and Moscow will never agree, and yet, for both sides, this point is of the utmost importance — Crimea. Olha Kuryshko, the Ukrainian president’s permanent representative in Crimea, told Euronews that Russia implemented its 2014 techniques on all occupied territories.
READ MORE : http://www.euronews.com/2025/05/16/crimea-is-russias-training-ground-for-colonisation-kyiv-envoy-says
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Vladimir Putin will not attend the high-stakes Russia-Ukraine talks in Istanbul. Instead, Kremlin aide and nationalist figure Vladimir Medinsky will lead the Russian delegation, reigniting debate over Russia's negotiation sincerity. Medinsky, known for his controversial historical views, previously led failed 2022 talks with Ukraine. Ukrainian President Zelensky insists only Putin’s presence signals real intent. He refuses to meet lower-tier officials. Meanwhile, Trump is also expected to skip the event. The absence of top leaders adds doubt over whether Istanbul's negotiations will yield any breakthrough in the ongoing war.
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German, UK defence ministers meet in Berlin to discuss ways to further support Ukraine
The European Union military chief announced that the bloc plans to double its heavy calibre ammunition delivery to Ukraine this year to better equip Kyiv in its fight against Moscow.
READ MORE : http://www.euronews.com/2025/05/16/german-uk-defence-ministers-meet-in-berlin-to-discuss-ways-to-further-support-ukraine
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Russian delegation sent to Turkey for peace talks 'appears theatrical', Zelenskyy says
Ukraine’s president said Kyiv will consider its next steps after a meeting with his Turkish counterpart, Recep Tayyip Erdogan. "We all know who makes decisions in Russia," Zelenskyy added.
READ MORE : http://www.euronews.com/2025/05/15/russian-delegation-sent-to-turkey-for-peace-talks-appears-theatrical-zelenskyy-says
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has expressed gratitude to Pope Leo XIV for offering to mediate global peace. In a heartfelt message on X, Zelensky called peace Ukraine’s “most sacred wish” and welcomed the Pope’s readiness to help end war. He reaffirmed Kyiv’s call for a full ceasefire and proposed a personal high-level meeting with Russia. The Pope had made his offer during an audience with Eastern Church pilgrims in Rome. His remarks are the latest in a string of Vatican efforts to reduce tensions worldwide and promote diplomacy over war.
#Zelensky #PopeLeoXIV #Ukraine #Russia #PeaceTalks #HolySee #UkraineRussiaWar #GlobalPeace #Ceasefire #UkraineNews #PopeMediation #Vatican #WarMediation #EasternChurch #ZelenskyRussiaMeeting #HolySeeMediation #WorldPeace #UkraineConflict #Pontiff #Rome
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In a dramatic diplomatic shift, the US is reportedly blocking Ukrainian President Zelensky from attending next month’s NATO summit in The Hague. Media reports suggest Ukraine’s membership bid is off the agenda to avoid friction with President Trump, who has ruled out NATO accession for Kiev. While Ukraine may attend minor sessions, it will be sidelined from top-level talks. Meanwhile, only a few non-member nations like Japan and Australia are invited. NATO’s message is clear — Ukraine may be an ally, but not a member, at least not any time soon.
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In a major twist, Russia has signaled readiness to resume direct peace talks with Ukraine, with Russian presidential aide Vladimir Medinsky stating Moscow is open to "discussion and possible compromises." Speaking from Istanbul ahead of the highly anticipated negotiations, Medinsky is leading a senior delegation including top defense and intelligence officials. This comes after President Putin’s recent proposal to restart dialogue—sparking speculation of a strategic U-turn in Moscow’s stance.
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Tensions flared as Russia and Ukraine traded insults just before their first direct peace talks in over three years. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky called Russia’s delegation a “Dummy team,” while Moscow fired back, labeling him a “clown” and “pathetic.” Putin is skipping the talks despite global pressure, instead sending a hardliner historian who denies Ukraine’s nationhood. Talks will take place in Istanbul’s Dolmabahce Palace under strict watch. With emotions high and leadership absent, hopes for a breakthrough remain fragile.
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Russia may use military force to protect shadow fleet, Estonia warns
Moscow is using ageing vessels in an effort to dodge international sanctions on its oil exports.
READ MORE : http://www.euronews.com/2025/05/15/russia-may-use-military-force-to-protect-shadow-fleet-estonia-warns
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The Russian Defense Ministry has confirmed the liberation of Kotlyarovka in the Donetsk People's Republic. As part of ongoing offensives, Russian units claimed significant tactical gains across Donetsk and Sumy regions. According to the ministry, more than 1,000 Ukrainian troops were killed and dozens of vehicles, HIMARS launchers, and depots were destroyed. The Sever, Zapad, Yug, and Tsentr groups all carried out strikes, targeting multiple brigades. The offensive, part of Russia's larger special military operation, marks a major milestone in the shifting battlefield dynamics of eastern Ukraine.
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Footage shows aftermath of Russian strikes on Odesa and Sumy
At least two people have been killed and 15 injured in a large-scale Russian drone attack on the Black Sea port city of Odesa, Ukrainian officials said.
READ MORE : http://www.euronews.com/2025/05/01/footage-shows-aftermath-of-russian-strikes-on-odesa-and-sumy
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Russia has dismissed Ukraine’s accusations over the deadly Sumy missile strike as part of a broader Western “infodemic.” Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova claimed the narrative was built on lies, dramatizations, and surrealism posing as reality. She accused Western media of orchestrating falsehoods to demonize Russia amid ongoing drone warfare and escalating tensions. Moscow insists Ukraine is manipulating facts to fuel anti-Russia sentiment.
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Top Ukrainian officials made a surprise trip to Paris, pushing the U.S. for a tougher stance on Russia after failed ceasefire efforts. Their visit comes as Donald Trump's envoys, including Marco Rubio, meet with European leaders. With Ukraine accusing Trump of appeasing Moscow, tensions have reached a new peak. France, Germany, and the UK are pressing for action after deadly attacks on civilians in Sumy. Trump, frustrated by both sides, blamed Zelenskyy for provoking the war—raising alarms across Europe. A new security framework may be on the table, but peace remains distant.
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The Trump administration has refused to support a G7 statement condemning Russia's missile strike on the Ukrainian city of Sumy. While Moscow claims the attack targeted military commanders, Kyiv says civilians were killed. Here's what we know.
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NATO General Mark Rutte slammed Russia for sending a ‘low-level’ delegation to the Peace talks being held in Istanbul. Rutte also objected to Vladimir Putin not attending the talks, especially when Zelensky was present, calling it a missed opportunity. He added that Ukraine was ready for peace, but the ball was in Russia’s court.
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Zelensky has announced he will not personally attend the upcoming peace talks with Russia in Istanbul, opting instead to send a delegation led by Defense Minister Rustem Umerov. The decision follows a nearly three-hour closed-door meeting with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Ankara. Zelensky cited concerns over the legitimacy of the Russian delegation—headed by Putin’s aide Vladimir Medinsky—calling it a potential “sham” with no real mandate to make decisions.
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Russia launched deadly airstrikes across Ukraine just hours after ending its unilateral Easter ceasefire. Odesa was hit by a massive overnight drone attack, striking residential buildings, schools, and critical infrastructure. In Zaporizhzhia, Soviet-era glide bombs killed one woman and injured 22 civilians, including children. Ukraine reports over 2,900 ceasefire violations in just days. As Moscow escalates with 54 Shaheed drones in one night, tensions rise ahead of high-stakes talks between Kyiv, Washington, London, and Paris. Zelenskyy slams the ceasefire as a “sham” masking continued aggression.
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Russia strikes Odesa and Zaporizhzhia less than 24 hours after Easter ceasefire ends
Anticipation is building over whether diplomatic efforts can stop more than three years of fighting since Russia’s full-scale invasion of its neighbour.
READ MORE : http://www.euronews.com/2025/04/22/russia-strikes-odesa-and-zaporizhzhia-less-than-24-hours-after-easter-ceasefire-ends
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Credit: euronews (in English) Duration: 01:27Published
Russian drone attacks on Kyiv and Zaporizhzhia have left multiple casualties, with at least three dead and over 10 injured. Fires raged across residential areas as Ukrainian officials confirmed widespread destruction. Meanwhile, Moscow is set to engage in crucial peace talks with the US in Saudi Arabia, raising questions about whether negotiations can bring an end to the bloodshed. Will diplomacy succeed, or is escalation inevitable? Stay tuned for the latest updates.
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Russian overnight strikes cause fires in Odesa and Zaporizhzhia
Russian forces launched a large-scale overnight assault on Ukrainian cities, injuring at least nine people and causing extensive damage to homes and infrastructure in Zaporizhzhia and Odesa.
READ MORE : http://www.euronews.com/2025/03/21/russian-overnight-strikes-cause-fires-in-odesa-and-zaporizhzhia
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Zelensky has firmly rejected reported US proposals for Washington to take control of Ukraine’s nuclear power infrastructure. Amid reports that former US President Donald Trump suggested such a move for Ukraine’s “best protection,” Zelensky clarified that all nuclear plants, including the Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia plant, belong solely to Ukraine. He denied discussing any ownership transfer with Trump but acknowledged talks on regaining control of the facility from Russia. Meanwhile, international negotiations continue over a partial ceasefire, with concerns mounting over Russian attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure.
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Russia launches drones strikes on Ukrainian city of Kharkiv, starting fires across city
Residents in the nearby Sumy region began evacuating earlier on Tuesday amid intensified Russian attacks with local authorities warning that the security situation in the city had worsened in recent days.
READ MORE : http://www.euronews.com/2025/05/06/russia-launches-drones-strikes-on-ukrainian-city-of-kharkiv-starting-fires-across-city
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Credit: euronews (in English) Duration: 01:35Published
In a chilling escalation of the war in Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin launched a massive overnight drone assault on Kharkiv, Ukraine’s second-largest city, injuring at least 46 civilians, including an 11-year-old child. The attack, which struck 12 locations across four central districts, ignited fires in high-rise apartment blocks and destroyed civilian homes. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky condemned the strike as a deliberate act of terror, stating there were “no military targets” and accusing Russia of timing the attacks when families are most vulnerable.
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Russia launches drone attack on Dnipro and Kharkiv, killing one and injuring 50
Meanwhile, in Russia a Ukrainian drone attack led to a fire at an instrument-making plant in Murom. Three people were injured in the Kursk region.
READ MORE : http://www.euronews.com/2025/04/30/russia-launches-drone-attack-on-dnipro-and-kharkiv-killing-one-and-injuring-50
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Credit: euronews (in English) Duration: 01:08Published
A fresh wave of Russian airstrikes has killed at least eight civilians and injured 24 others across Ukraine, including multiple children. Ukrainian officials report intensified attacks amid Kyiv’s calls for a ceasefire. Among the dead are a 12-year-old girl in Samars, a 68-year-old man in Semenivka, and a child in Dnipropetrovsk. Air defenses intercepted 37 of 100 drones, while others vanished off radar. Deadly strikes continued across Donetsk, Kharkiv, and Chernihiv, as the human toll of the ongoing conflict grows heavier by the day.
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Russian drone attacks kill nine in Ukraine's Dnipropetrovsk region
In the Ukrainian town of Marhanets, a bus was targeted by a Russian drone. Russia also launched an overnight attack on Kharkiv, Kherson, Poltava and Odesa.
READ MORE : http://www.euronews.com/2025/04/23/russian-drone-attacks-kill-nine-in-ukraines-dnipropetrovsk-region
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Battle for Pokrovsk: Ukraine's military says it has pushed back Russian soldiers
Ukrainian soldiers in the eastern Donetsk region, near the city of Pokrovsk, say that they have gained momentum in pushing back Russian troops.
READ MORE : http://www.euronews.com/2025/04/11/battle-for-pokrovsk-ukraines-military-says-it-has-pushed-back-russian-soldiers
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Credit: euronews (in English) Duration: 01:17Published
Former U.S. President Donald Trump declared no real resolution can happen in the Russia-Ukraine war unless he meets directly with Vladimir Putin. Speaking aboard Air Force One, Trump said Putin..
Trump took another pointed swipe at Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, while mocking Russian President Vladimir Putin for skipping the critical Istanbul peace talks. Trump claimed Putin wouldn’t..